Can software invest like Buffett?
An AI analyst that weighs a business on fundamentals, not headlines.
Most market noise is exactly that. Buffett's edge was never speed, it was patience and a short list of questions asked relentlessly: does this business have a moat, is management honest and rational, and is the price below what the thing is actually worth? I am trying to teach software to ask those same questions, slowly and on purpose.
The hard part is not the finance, it is the discipline. An LLM that sounds confident is a liability in a domain that punishes hand-waving. So most of the work is making it slow down, cite the evidence behind every claim, and say I don't know when the data is thin.
What I am building
- Reads the filings. Pulls annual reports and statements and turns a decade of them into structured numbers, not vibes.
- Scores the moat. Looks for the durable advantages: pricing power, returns on capital, the things that hold up over time.
- Weighs management. Capital allocation, insider behaviour, and whether the story in the letter matches what the numbers say.
- Margin of safety. An honest range for what the business is worth, and how far below it today’s price actually sits.
- Stays disciplined. Every call carries the evidence it used, and gets graded later against what actually happened.
Follow along
It is early and opinionated, and it is where a lot of my writing about LLM discipline and evaluation is going to come from. The notes get published as I go.
Notes from the next
hard thing, now and then.
No schedule, no funnel. Just a short note when a build teaches me something worth passing on.